Date:10/06/19
A new algorithm has the potential to predict whether an actor's career has peaked.
The process has a whopping 85 per cent accuracy - and claims to suggest when an actor will have their most successful year.
Researchers, from Queen Mary University, discovered an actor’s best year is usually preceded by a steady rise in credits.
The Guardian reports Oliver Williams, the first author of the study said: “If I were to give a piece of advice based on my findings, I would say just do more jobs and you’ll get more jobs.”
The team of researchers analysed careers listed on popular movie website International Movie Database (IMDb).
They studied the careers of actors from 1888 to 2016 – including more than 1.5 million men and almost 900,000 women.
Women had shorter careers than men, the study found, and researchers concluded only a lucky few actors had what you could call "lengthy" or "active" careers.
Williams added: “There is a sign of gender bias.
"We see that men tend to recover from cold streaks better than women do”.
The study found both men and women are more likely to experience their "peak" in the first part of their career.
But there remain anomalies difficult to account for - namely career "resurgences", akin to Matthew McConaughey and Michael Keaton.
“This work is really focused on productivity being what you want to achieve,” said Williams.
“This is something that maybe should be looked at in the future.”
This new algorithm predicts exactly when an actor’s career will peak
A new algorithm has the potential to predict whether an actor's career has peaked.The process has a whopping 85 per cent accuracy - and claims to suggest when an actor will have their most successful year.
Researchers, from Queen Mary University, discovered an actor’s best year is usually preceded by a steady rise in credits.
The Guardian reports Oliver Williams, the first author of the study said: “If I were to give a piece of advice based on my findings, I would say just do more jobs and you’ll get more jobs.”
The team of researchers analysed careers listed on popular movie website International Movie Database (IMDb).
They studied the careers of actors from 1888 to 2016 – including more than 1.5 million men and almost 900,000 women.
Women had shorter careers than men, the study found, and researchers concluded only a lucky few actors had what you could call "lengthy" or "active" careers.
Williams added: “There is a sign of gender bias.
"We see that men tend to recover from cold streaks better than women do”.
The study found both men and women are more likely to experience their "peak" in the first part of their career.
But there remain anomalies difficult to account for - namely career "resurgences", akin to Matthew McConaughey and Michael Keaton.
“This work is really focused on productivity being what you want to achieve,” said Williams.
“This is something that maybe should be looked at in the future.”
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